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02Risk

Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo runs a full CPM-per-iteration simulation over the parsed schedule network: selectable distributions (triangular, BetaPERT, normal, lognormal, uniform) on duration bands plus discrete, correlatable risk events, calendar-aware and deterministic by default. Use it for risk-adjusted committed dates and to identify which activities most affect total finish.

Preview

P80

Run 10,000 iterations on activity durations and risk events. P50/P80 finish, criticality index, top risk drivers.

What's inside

  • Duration bands with five selectable distributions, default plus per-activity-code overrides
  • 10,000-iteration simulation with deterministic seeding
  • P10 / P50 / P80 / P90 finish date distributions
  • Criticality index per activity (% of runs on the driving path)
  • Top risk drivers ranked by tornado sensitivity to total duration
  • Correlation groups for risks that should fire together (e.g. weather)
  • P50/P80 finish burn-down trended across schedule updates
  • Re-run on any uploaded schedule revision without re-uploading
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Other modules

Secure hosted workspace · private schedules · role-based access
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