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02Risk

Monte Carlo

Monte Carlo turns deterministic durations into probabilistic ones. Define a distribution per activity, run 10,000 iterations, and see how often each activity ends up on the critical path. Use it for risk-adjusted committed dates and to identify which activities most affect total finish.

Preview

P80

Run 10,000 iterations on activity durations. P50/P80 finish, criticality index, top risk drivers.

What's inside

  • Triangular and PERT distributions on activity durations
  • 10,000-iteration simulation with deterministic seeding
  • P10 / P50 / P80 / P95 finish date distributions
  • Criticality index per activity (% of runs on critical path)
  • Top risk drivers ranked by sensitivity to total duration
  • Tornado diagram and S-curve outputs
  • Per-WBS risk profiles for scoping mitigation
  • Re-run on any uploaded schedule revision without re-uploading
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Other modules

Secure hosted workspace · private schedules · role-based access
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